Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-08 0.405998 0.448444 0.494006 0.546643 0.605893 0.670655 0.746974
2025-06-15 0.339512 0.398668 0.466829 0.551578 0.654685 0.776760 0.933276
2025-06-22 0.295378 0.360906 0.439994 0.543265 0.675705 0.841401 1.066837
2025-06-29 0.264638 0.333753 0.420332 0.537972 0.695518 0.901894 1.197137
2025-07-06 0.233985 0.302730 0.391482 0.516063 0.688992 0.924396 1.275802
2025-07-13 0.219258 0.290606 0.385393 0.522656 0.719902 0.998669 1.432656
2025-07-20 0.206532 0.279735 0.379527 0.528192 0.748711 1.071378 1.593848
2025-07-27 0.195481 0.270056 0.374152 0.533336 0.776541 1.144188 1.762111
2025-08-03 0.185023 0.260265 0.367587 0.535712 0.799719 1.211179 1.927564
2025-08-10 0.176513 0.252562 0.363283 0.540766 0.826909 1.286231 2.113983
2025-08-17 0.164578 0.238904 0.349015 0.529019 0.825867 1.314696 2.222507
2025-08-24 0.158287 0.233292 0.346474 0.535402 0.854601 1.394904 2.431631
2025-08-31 0.149774 0.223857 0.337563 0.531079 0.865507 1.446425 2.596164
2025-09-07 0.143798 0.218009 0.333905 0.535108 0.891031 1.526137 2.824618
2025-09-14 0.135849 0.208504 0.323683 0.527125 0.894423 1.565507 2.977633
2025-09-21 0.129146 0.200597 0.315534 0.522011 0.902343 1.613699 3.154196
2025-09-28 0.119935 0.188067 0.298947 0.500851 0.878808 1.599221 3.196248
2025-10-05 0.116468 0.184866 0.297854 0.507220 0.907419 1.689264 3.476495
2025-10-12 0.113052 0.181540 0.296307 0.512566 0.934378 1.778440 3.766841
2025-10-19 0.109792 0.178286 0.294658 0.517535 0.960888 1.869137 4.073290
2025-10-26 0.106309 0.174449 0.291732 0.519828 0.982114 1.950618 4.369181
2025-11-02 0.103435 0.171520 0.290237 0.524709 1.008955 2.046818 4.715518
2025-11-09 0.098346 0.164410 0.280769 0.513365 1.000875 2.064618 4.864023